NFL Week 16: The Playoff Picture and Clinching Scenarios

Jalen Hurts of the Philadelphia Eagles speaks to reporters during Super Bowl LIX Opening Night at the Caesars Superdome on February 3, 2025 in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo Courtesy: Itoro N. Umontuen)


Itoro N. Umontuen

It’s that time of the year where playoff tickets get punched and division championships are won. Four AFC teams and five NFC teams have a chance to secure playoff spots this week. Denver could also lock up the AFC’s No. 1 seed if four contests go their way. Here are the updated playoff scenarios heading to Week 16. 

AFC’s Playoff Scenarios

CLINCHED:

         Denver Broncos (12-2) – playoff berth

Denver Broncos (12-2) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4); Sunday (4:05 p.m. ET, FOX)

Denver clinches AFC West division title and the AFC’s No. 1 seed, lone first-round bye and home-field advantage with:

DEN win + LAC loss or tie + NE loss + BUF loss or tie

Denver clinches AFC West division title with:

DEN win + LAC loss or tie OR

DEN tie + LAC loss

Buffalo Bills (10-4) at Cleveland Browns (3-11); Sunday (1 p.m. ET, CBS)

Buffalo clinches playoff berth with:

BUF win + IND loss or tie OR

BUF win + HOU loss or tie OR

BUF tie + IND loss OR

BUF tie + HOU loss

New England Patriots (11-3) at Baltimore Ravens (7-7); Sunday night (8:20 p.m. ET, NBC)

New England clinches playoff berth with:

NE win or tie OR

IND loss or tie OR

HOU loss or tie

Jacksonville Jaguars (10-4) at Denver Broncos (12-2); Sunday (4:05 p.m. ET, FOX)

Jacksonville clinches playoff berth with:

JAX win + IND loss or tie OR

JAX win + HOU loss or tie OR

JAX tie + IND loss OR

JAX tie + IND tie + HOU loss

Los Angeles Chargers (10-4) at Dallas Cowboys (6-7-1); Sunday (1 p.m. ET, FOX)

Los Angeles Chargers clinch playoff berth with:

LAC win + IND loss or tie OR

LAC win + HOU loss or tie OR

LAC tie + IND loss OR

LAC tie + IND tie + HOU loss

AFC playoff matchups as things stand

(7) Houston Texans at (2) New England Patriots

(6) Buffalo Bills at (3) Jacksonville Jaguars

(5) Los Angeles Chargers at (4) Pittsburgh Steelers

Wild-card round bye: (1) Denver Broncos

NFC’s Playoff Scenarios

CLINCHED:

         Los Angeles Rams (11-3) – playoff berth

Philadelphia Eagles (9-5) at Washington Commanders (4-10); Saturday (5 p.m. ET, FOX)

Philadelphia clinches NFC East division title with:

PHI win OR

DAL loss OR

PHI tie + DAL tie

Chicago Bears (10-4) vs. Green Bay Packers (9-4-1); Saturday night (8:20 p.m. ET, FOX)

Chicago clinches playoff berth with:

CHI win + DET loss or tie OR

CHI tie + DET loss

Green Bay Packers (9-4-1) at Chicago Bears (10-4); Saturday night (8:20 p.m. ET, FOX)

Green Bay clinches playoff berth with:

GB win + DET loss or tie OR

GB tie + DET loss

San Francisco 49ers (10-4) at Indianapolis Colts (8-6); Monday night (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN)

San Francisco clinches playoff berth with:

SF win OR

DET loss OR

SF tie + DET tie

Seattle Seahawks (11-3) vs. Los Angeles Rams (11-3); Thursday night (8:15 p.m. ET, Prime Video)

Seattle clinches playoff berth with:

SEA win or tie OR

DET loss or tie

NFC’s Playoff Matchups as they stand

(7) Green Bay Packers at (2) Chicago Bears

(6) San Francisco 49ers at (3) Philadelphia Eagles

(5) Seattle Seahawks at (4) Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Wild-card round bye: (1) Los Angeles Rams

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